Welcome to draft season, where no position gets more scrutiny and speculation than — you guessed it — quarterback. Everyone wants an elite one (and most struggle to secure one). The 2022 class, in particular, is widely considered short on can’t-miss signal-callers, but depending on who you ask, as many as five QBs could still go in the first round.
Kenny Pickett, Malik Willis, Matt Corral, Desmond Ridder and Sam Howell have all drawn interest from QB-needy teams with first-round picks, and several of them have been surefire Day One targets across the mock-verse. But what can history tell us about how many of the inevitable first-round QB investments will actually pan out? We’re glad you asked.
We also hope you brought some Pepto Bismol, because the track record of first-round QB picks is not very pretty.
In assessing the Day One QB picks of the last 10 years, we assigned each QB one of four “verdicts.” They are…
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