We are still in the midst of the offseason in college football, but as teams across the nation take part in spring practice and host their annual spring games, it feels like the news cycle is up and running for the sport.
As new coaching staffs get settled, and teams get prepared for the season, a hierarchy has started to form as we continue to plow towards August and September. Many college football fans will look at the AP Top 25, or the USA TODAY Coaches Poll to see where their team ranks, but one thing that we like to use is the ESPN Football Power Index. The FPI measures a team’s true strength on a net point scale; expected point margin vs. opponent on a neutral field. It also gives a percent chance for each team to win their conference, make the College Football Playoff, and ultimately win the national championship.
We know that heading into the 2022 season under a new coaching staff, the Oregon Ducks are projected to be ranked just outside of the top-10, and they figure to be among the best teams in the Pac-12 as well. But where do they stack up in the top-25 according to ESPN’s FPI? Let’s take a look:
1
Alabama Crimson Tide
FPI: 28.9
Projected Record: 11.3-1.5
Chance to Win Conference: 49.6%
Chance to Make College Football Playoff: 79.3%
Chance to Win National Championship: 30.1%
2
Ohio State Buckeyes
FPI: 28.3
Projected Record: 11.8-1.0
Chance to Win Conference: 73.6%
Chance to Make College Football Playoff: 82.3%
Chance to Win National Championship: 27.4%
3
Georgia Bulldogs
FPI: 27.4
Projected Record: 11.6-1.3
Chance to Win Conference: 46.3%
Chance to Make College Football Playoff: 73.5%
Chance to Win National Championship: 22.7%
4
Clemson Tigers
FPI: 23.2
Projected Record: 11.1-1.0
Chance to Win Conference: 58.7%
Chance to Make College Football Playoff:…
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