College Football

Preseason look at the game-by-game win projections for the Oklahoma Sooners per ESPN’s FPI

Preseason look at the game-by-game win projections for the Oklahoma Sooners per ESPN’s FPI

Heading into the 2022 college football season, the Oklahoma Sooners are looking to return to the top of the Big 12 mountain. One of the favorites to contend for the conference title, the Sooners will have to avoid losses in several touch matchups to return to their place of prominence among their conference foes.

In each of the last two seasons, the Lincoln Riley-led Sooners dropped a pair of conference games. In 2020, it was Iowa State and Kansas State that upended the Sooners early in the year. In 2021, Baylor and Oklahoma State got the better of Oklahoma at the end of the season.

Though Oklahoma made it to the Big 12 title game, and won it, in 2020, it needed a lot of help to get there after its two early losses.

Just under two months to the start of the 2022 season opener against UTEP, ESPN’s Football Power Index updated its latest win projections. Let’s take a look at how the Sooners are projected to fare in 2022. Like last year, we’ll update this before the opener and throughout the season.

Sept. 3: UTEP Miners (Norman)

Sept. 1, 2012; Dallas, Texas; Oklahoma Sooners quarterback Landry Jones (12) throws a pass in the first quarter against the UTEP Miners at Sun Bowl Stadium. Jim Cowsert-USA TODAY Sports

Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium (Norman)

Predicted Winner: Oklahoma

Sooners Win Probability: 97.9%

All-Time Series: Oklahoma leads 4-0

Projected running record: 1-0

Sept. 10: Kent State Golden Flashes (Norman)

Oct. 9, 2021; Dallas, Texas; Oklahoma Sooners fans during the game against the Texas Longhorns at the Cotton Bowl. Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium (Norman)

Predicted Winner: Oklahoma

Sooners Win Probability: 97.1%

All-Time Series: First Meeting between the two teams.

Projected running record: 2-0

Sept. 17: Nebraska Cornhuskers (Lincoln)

Memorial Stadium (Lincoln)

Predicted Winner: Oklahoma

Sooners Win Probability: 60.5%

All-Time Series: Oklahoma leads 48-38-3

Projected running record: 3-0

Sept. 24: Kansas State Wildcats (Norman)

Sept. 18, 2021; Norman; Oklahoma Sooners cornerback D.J. Graham (middle) makes an interception in front of Nebraska Cornhuskers wide receiver Levi Falck (88) during the fourth quarter at Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium. Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium (Norman)

Predicted Winner: Oklahoma

Sooners Win Probability: 80.5%

All-Time Series: Oklahoma leads 77-21-4

Projected running record: 4-0

Oct. 1: TCU Horned Frogs (Fort Worth)

Oct. 16, 2021; Norman;…

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