Bill Connelly of ESPN is one of the foremost experts in the world of college football analytics, a pioneer and trailblazer in his field. He evaluated USC and looked at some “what-if” scenarios which would point the way to a successful season for the Trojans.
If … this much change actually works. A team that went 4-8 last season has the fifth-best national title odds. New head coach Lincoln Riley could more than double USC’s win total and still get labeled a disappointment. Granted, it’s partially his fault — he’s the one who brought in transfers like quarterback Caleb Williams and receiver Jordan Addison — but it’s probably too much, too soon.
If … DC Alex Grinch better picks his spots. Grinch’s all-or-nothing style relies heavily on havoc; without it, his defenses get burned constantly. He sought more of a balance last season at Oklahoma, but the results weren’t particularly good.
If… a revamped secondary improves dramatically. An unsuccessful secondary is replacing five of last year’s top six. Colorado corner transfer Mekhi Blackmon is a keeper, but he’s going to need a lot of help.
If… November Caleb Williams is gone. The Williams of September and October: 9.6 yards per dropback, 72% completion rate, 94.8 Total QBR. November: 6.0 per dropback, 57% completion rate, 73.0 Total QBR. He actually looked like a freshman late. Has he grown past that?
We can’t wait to see what happens. Bill Connelly can’t wait, either.
Click Here to Read the Full Original Article at Football | Trojans Wire…