College Football

Ohio State football updated ESPN game-by-game predictions after Week 1

Ohio State football updated ESPN game-by-game predictions after Week 1

Well, that was fun.

We had our first full slate of college football games and that meant Ohio State was in action. And it wasn’t just any game, it was a titanic clash between two top-five teams. The Buckeyes came out on top with a hard-fought win over Notre Dame that had the team display toughness and grit.

But, the national perception is that OSU didn’t look like a team destined for greatness this year, largely because of the struggles on offense, a side of the ball that was supposed to be its strength.

With some data now to go on, ESPN has updated its FPI predictions on the percentage chance of Ohio State’s remaining games, and we like to follow where the trends are going. We’ll continue to check in on it throughout the year.

Here’s how the win over Notre Dame affected OSU’s chances of winning each of its remaining games according to the ESPN FPI.

Saturday, Sept. 10, vs. Arkansas State

Oct. 7, 2021; Jonesboro; Arkansas State Red Wolves quarterback Layne Hatcher (3) fakes the handoff to running back Lincoln Pare (22) at Centennial Bank Stadium. Petre Thomas-USA TODAY Sports

Ohio Stadium (Columbus)

Predicted Winner: Ohio State
Buckeyes Win Probability: 98.4% (down from 99.3%)
All-Time Series: First matchup

Projected running record: 2-0

Saturday, Sept. 17, vs. Toledo

Sept. 23, 2017; Miami Gardens, Florida; Toledo Rockets head coach Jason Candle looks on from the sideline in the game against the Miami Hurricanes during the second half at Hard Rock Stadium. Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

Ohio Stadium (Columbus)

Predicted Winner: Ohio State
Buckeyes Win Probability: 98.4% (up from 98.0%)
All-Time Series: OSU leads 3-0

Projected running record: 3-0

Saturday, Sept. 24, vs. Wisconsin

Nov. 20, 2021; Madison; Wisconsin Badgers linebacker Nick Herbig (19) tackles Nebraska Cornhuskers tight end Austin Allen (11) during the third quarter at Camp Randall…

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