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Optimal NFL football knockout, survivor pool picks, strategy, advice for Week 1, 2022: Avoid the Bengals

Optimal NFL football knockout, survivor pool picks, strategy, advice for Week 1, 2022: Avoid the Bengals


The Week 1 NFL schedule begins Thursday, which means it is time to begin researching your NFL survivor pool picks. While finding one of the top NFL knockout pool picks in Week 1 is important, it is equally as important to research potential NFL picks later in the season. For example, the Chiefs are 4.5-point favorites against Arizona in the latest Week 1 NFL odds at Caesars Sportsbook, but they are likely going to be heavier favorites against the Jaguars and Texans later in the year. Some of the biggest NFL favorites on the board this week are the 49ers (-7 vs. Chicago), the Ravens (-7 vs. the Jets) and the Colts (-8 vs. Houston). Indianapolis will get a rematch at home against the Texans in Week 18. Should you wait to take the Colts in that matchup, or should you take them with your Week 1 NFL survivor strategy? Before finalizing any Week 1 NFL survivor picks, see which team the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model just went all-in on.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,500 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 138-97 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. Amazingly, it hasn’t missed a top-rated pick since Week 15 last season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up. 

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 1 NFL odds from Caesars and locked in its Week 1 survivor pool pick. You can only see who the model is backing this week at SportsLine.

Top Week 1 NFL survivor pool predictions 

For Week 1 of the 2022 NFL season, the model is shying away from the Cincinnati Bengals, even though they are the reigning AFC champions and favored at home over the Pittsburgh Steelers. Cincinnati was the surprise team during the 2021 season, but the model thinks the Bengals might be overvalued in Week 1. They allowed 55 sacks during the regular season, with only the Bears and Ravens giving up more.

Pittsburgh had a strong defensive front last year, leading the NFL in sacks. The Steelers have won 11 of the last 14 meetings between these teams and have gone 16-4 in their last 20 trips to Cincinnati. There are better Week 1 NFL survivor picks available…

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