Boise State vs. San Diego State prediction, odds: Week 5 college football picks, best bets by proven model

The Boise State Broncos will try to bounce back from a shocking loss when they host the San Diego State Aztecs on Friday in a Mountain West Conference game at Albertsons Stadium in Boise, Idaho. Last week the Broncos (2-2, 1-0 in MWC) lost 27-10 at UTEP despite being 16.5-point favorites. The loss was Boise State’s first against the Miners in seven all-time meetings. Meanwhile the Aztecs (2-2) rebounded from a loss at No. 14 Utah with a 17-14 victory over Toledo. In that game, San Diego State forced four turnovers for the first time since 2019. Taylen Green will take over at quarterback Boise State after Hank Bachmeier entered the transfer portal this week. 

Kickoff is 8 p.m. ET. The Broncos are 6.5-point favorites in the latest Boise State vs. San Diego State odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 39. Before making any San Diego State vs. Boise State picks, you need to see the college football prediction and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of more than $3,100 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed the model has seen huge returns.

Now the model has dialed in on Boise State vs. San Diego State and just revealed its coveted picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of the model’s college football picks. Now, here are the college football odds and trends for San Diego State vs. Boise State:  

• Boise State vs. San Diego State spread: Broncos -6.5
• Boise State vs. San Diego State over/under: 39 points 
• Boise State vs. San Diego State money line: Broncos -267, Aztecs +215
• BSU: JL Skinner ranks second in the conference in tackles per game (9.0) 
• SDSU: Jordan Byrd ranks seventh in the country in punt returns (17.8 yards per return) 
• Boise State vs. San Diego State picks: See picks here