NFL Week 7 picks, odds, best bets: Aaron Rodgers, Packers suffer yet another upset defeat; Titans sweep Colts

Shoutout to all of those who followed my picks, because we went 11-3 against the spread last week. Everything we touched turned to gold. I even took the Pittsburgh Steelers to cover the spread before seeing that their whole secondary was out vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, but it didn’t even matter. We blessed them to victory.

All kidding aside, it’s nice to have an elite week like that because overall, the season hasn’t been what I wanted it to be. Either way, there’s still so much football left. All I ask is that you read my explanations and then make your own decisions. 

Let’s take a look at what I’m thinking this week. As always, credit to the CBS Sports research team for making me sound smart. 

All odds come courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook

Top five picks ATS record: 13-17
Overall ATS record: 47-46-1
Straight up record: 55-38-1

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)

If you were unaware, everyone in the state of Tennessee is in the midst of a week-long bender. The other Tennessee football team in Knoxville defeated the Alabama Crimson Tide for the first time since 2006, and everyone stormed the field, uprooted the goal posts and threw them into the Tennessee river. That momentum appears to have somewhat carried over into other sports, as the NHL‘s Nashville Predators scored a goal right after the crowd got done singing “Rocky Top” earlier this week. Maybe we will hear some “Rocky Top” at Nissan Stadium on Sunday. It would be good luck.

We’ve made the Titans a best bet in their last two games and it’s worked out. Tennessee is 3-0 SU and ATS after beginning the season 0-2 SU and ATS. The second of those three wins came against the Colts in Indy, as Tennessee’s defense held Jonathan Taylor to 2.1 yards per carry, while Derrick Henry rushed for 114 yards and a touchdown. 

Since the spread is under three points, this best bet selection boils down to two things: The Titans are a better team than the Colts, and Mike Vrabel has never lost coming off of a bye week.

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