College Football

How the Big 12 stacks up in ESPN FPI

How the Big 12 stacks up in ESPN FPI

Entering the final month of play in the Big 12, there’s a tight race at the top for contention in the Big 12 title game.

TCU and Kansas State are leading the pack, but in a deep Big 12, the two teams that finish one and two in the standings at the end of the season, could look differently.

Though it’s unrealistic and incredibly improbable, Oklahoma is one of six teams with a chance to win the Big 12 title in 2022. They have a 0.1% chance to win the title. Realistically, five teams still have a shot to make it to Arlington and take home a Big 12 crown.

In addition to TCU and Kansas State, Texas, Baylor, and Oklahoma State still have a shot.    A lot would need to go write for the Bears, Longhorns, and Cowboys, but with how the Big 12 has been this year, it seems like anyone has a chance to win any game on Saturday.

Let’s take a look at how the conference ranks in the updated ESPN Football Power Index after week nine.

1

Texas Longhorns

Texas quarterback Hudson Card (1) snaps the ball during the game against Alabama at Royal Memorial Stadium on Sep. 10, 2022. Aaron E. Martinez / American-Statesman / USA TODAY NETWORK

ESPN FPI Rank: 6

Projected Win-Loss: 8.1-4.3

Chance to Win the Big 12: 26.3%

That close loss to Alabama heavily influenced strength of schedule for the Longhorns. Since then, Texas has lost to Texas Tech and Oklahoma State. Could they be in line for another disappointing second half finish?

2

TCU Horned Frogs

Oct 29, 2022; Morgantown, West Virginia, USA; TCU Horned Frogs running back Kendre Miller (33) runs for a touchdown during the second quarter against the West Virginia Mountaineers at Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium. Ben Queen-USA TODAY Sports

ESPN FPI Rank: 14

Projected Win-Loss: 10.6-2.2

Chance to Win the Big 12: 41.5%

TCU came in at seventh in the initial College Football Playoff rankings. They’re going to have a tough…

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