If we learned one thing from Week 10, it’s that the NFL playoff picture can change in an instant, which is something the Buffalo Bills found that out the hard way.
Last week, the Bills were sitting at the top of the AFC, but following their improbable loss to the Vikings, they dropped all the way down to the six-seed. Of course, just because they’re the six-seed right now doesn’t mean they’re going to stay there. Can the Bills get back into the top spot in the AFC or did the loss to Minnesota kill their chances of getting a first-round bye?
That’s one of the questions we’re going to answer right now in this week’s playoff projection. The projections here are based on data from number-cruncher Stephen Oh of SportsLine.com. Oh plugged some numbers into his SportsLine computer this week and simulated the rest of the NFL season, and using those numbers, we’re going to let you know the playoff chances for all 32 teams, plus the projected 14-team playoff field.
With that in mind, let’s get to this week’s playoff projections.
AFC Playoff Projection
Here’s a list of the playoff chances for all the other AFC teams (their percentage chances of getting into the playoffs is listed next to them in parentheses): Chargers (50.9%), Bengals (32%), Colts (14.4%), Jaguars (7.7%), Browns (6.3%), Steelers (4.5%), Broncos (1.6%), Raiders (0.7%), Texans (0.2%).
NFC Playoff Projection
Here’s a list of the playoff chances for all the other NFC teams (their percentage chances of getting into the playoffs is listed next to them in parentheses): Commanders (17.6%), Packers (11.9%), Falcons (7.6%), Cardinals (6.8%), Saints (3.8%), Rams(3.4%), Panthers (2.2%), Lions(1.2%), Bears (0.3%).
Wild-card round projection
AFC
(7) Jets at (2) Bills
(6) Patriots at (3) Ravens
(5) Dolphins at (4) Titans
Bye: Chiefs
NFC
(7) 49ers at (2) Vikings
(6) Cowboys at (3) Seahawks
(5) Giants at (4) Buccaneers
Bye: Eagles
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