It’s another week in the NFL and another week of our picks. Week 10 had everything you wanted in a slate. There were overtime thrillers, insane individual plays and upsets all over the place. While intoxicating to watch, last week wasn’t particularly kind to yours truly, going 1-4 in my locks of the week. The most damming loss out of that group was certainly laying six points with the Raiders for them to fall versus Jeff Saturday and the Colts. We did nail a big win for the Dolphins and were .500 with the rest of our picks, but we’ll look to pump those numbers up as we eye Week 11.
This weekend, there are a number of things to keep an eye on from a betting standpoint. While it’s not included in my five locks, it’s worth pointing out that there is a winter storm warning that could impact Bills-Browns this weekend, as it’s forecasted that the Buffalo area could get one to two feet of snow. As for my locks, we’ll be keying in on a couple of divisional matchups and continuing to ride the Justin Fields hype train.
Let’s get to it.
2022 record
Regular season
Locks of the Week ATS: 23-24-3
ATS: 68-77-5
ML: 87-63
All NFL odds via Caesars Sportsbook.
Featured Game | New England Patriots vs. New York Jets
Bill Belichick simply has Zach Wilson’s number. He is 0-3 SU and ATS against the Patriots in his career, his teams average just 12 points per game, and he owns a passer rating of just 50.5.
In their matchup back in Week 8, New England’s defense was able to torment the Jets quarterback, forcing him into three interceptions en route to the 22-17 win. All of those picks came while Wilson was under pressure, and you can expect a similar formula when he rolls into Gillette Stadium on Sunday. The Patriots are tied for the second-most sacks in the NFL entering Week 11, and their 37% pressure rate ranks fourth in the league. When pressured this season, Wilson has a 6.6 passer rating, which is the worst in the NFL and on pace to be the worst by any quarterback in the past five seasons.
Projected score: Patriots 27, Jets…
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