Over the past several weeks, Bears quarterback Justin Fields has evolved into one of the most exciting young players in the NFL, and newfound offensive optimism has rejuvenated Chicago’s fanbase. However, the Bears have lost three of their last four games while scoring at least 29 points the last four weeks. The latest Week 11 NFL odds from Caesars Sportsbook list the 4-6 Falcons as three-point favorites at home, but can a stagnant Atlanta offense keep pace with the suddenly dynamic Bears? Meanwhile, Washington is riding high after knocking off the undefeated Eagles last week, but is only a three-point favorite against the Texans in the Week 11 NFL spreads. Which NFL office pool picks and NFL survivor picks should you make? All of the Week 11 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine’s advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 11 NFL picks now.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 11 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 153-108 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 11 NFL odds and locked in picks for every NFL matchup. Head here to see every pick.
Top Week 11 NFL predictions
One of the model’s strongest Week 11 NFL picks is that the Patriots (-3) cover the spread at home against the Jets. The Patriots have dominated this AFC East rivalry over the years. In fact, New England has won 13 consecutive games against the Jets.
The Patriots enter Sunday’s showdown giving up just 18.4 points per game, which ranks sixth in the NFL. New England held the Jets to 17 points in the first meeting this season, a 22-17 victory on the road. The Patriots forced Jets quarterback Zach Wilson to throw three interceptions that day, and SportsLine’s model expects he’ll struggle again on Sunday, projecting he’ll throw for fewer than 200 yards. That’s a big reason why New England covers the spread well over 60% of the time, with the Over (38.5) hitting in over 50% of simulations. See which other teams to pick…
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