College football predictions, picks, odds: Alabama, Ohio State, Texas on upset alert in Week 13

After a few truly special weeks in a row, a regression to the mean was coming. Unfortunately, the penultimate week of the year was a flop with only one of four upset picks hitting — and two ending in completely embarrassing fashion for us. 

Texas absolutely crushed Kansas 55-14, leaving no doubt on a -9 line. Oklahoma jumped out to a 28-0 lead after the first quarter of Bedlam against Oklahoma State and never looked back. Nebraska came one point away from hitting the upset against Wisconsin, while Duke dropped by two points against Pitt. Thankfully, Houston came through with a 42-3 shellacking of East Carolina. 

This week, rivalries take center stage. The biggest game of the weekend in Columbus, Ohio, features a surprisingly big line. Games against in-state opponents for Alabama and Clemson have even bigger totals. Let’s prepare for chaos. Here are five games that jump out to us in Week 13 for upsets on the money line. 

“Upset” is defined by odds, not rankings. All odds courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook. Lines may shift after publication. 

Baylor at No. 23 Texas

When: Friday 12 p.m. ET | Where: Darrell K. Royal Stadium — Austin, Texas

Texas has been overvalued by analytic systems all season thanks to a close result against Alabama and domination of an Oklahoma team without its quarterback. The favorable metrics leave the Longhorns as a two-score favorite against Baylor despite only winning one game since the Red River Showdown by double-figures: Kansas. 

Baylor gave rival TCU its toughest game of the year in a 29-28 loss, compiling more than 500 total yards and five yards per carry against a Frogs defense that held Longhorns rusher Bijan Robinson to 29 yards. The Longhorns are 1-3 against the top six of the Big 12 standings and tried their best to blow a 31-10 lead against Kansas State. Pick:…