Dajani Dimes continues to put together winning weeks. Vegas knows all, but it was great to take advantage of them with that Washington Commanders -3 line against the Houston Texans. We did get bit by the Kansas City Chiefs against the Los Angeles Chargers. Patrick Mahomes is 4-1 straight up vs. Justin Herbert, but is just 1-4 against the spread!
Merry Thanksgivingmas to you and yours. If you’re looking to get some action on the games while the in-laws argue about politics, then check out my thorough guide,.
Here’s a look at what I’m thinking this week. As always, credit to the CBS Sports research team for making me sound smart.
All odds come courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook.
Top five picks ATS record: 29-25-1
Overall ATS record: 88-70-6
Straight up record: 106-57-1
Thursday, 4:30 p.m. ET (Fox, FuboTV)
Featured Game | Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants
Whatever faith I lost in the Cowboys after their loss to the Green Bay Packers I have regained following their 40-3 win over the Minnesota Vikings. That’s how a legitimate contender responds after a loss. As for the Giants, they were blown out by the Detroit Lions at home on Sunday, and suffered several notable injuries that will affect them on this short week.
This is a big spread, but I want to lay the points with the Cowboys. The Giants have lost two out of their last three games after starting the season 6-1, and they’ve weirdly struggled on first downs — both on offense and defense. Daniel Jones‘ unit averages 4.4 yards per play on first downs (second-fewest in the NFL), while the defense allows an average of 6.9 yards per play on first downs (most in the NFL). We saw what the Cowboys did to the Vikings last week. Tony Pollard recorded 189 yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns, while the defense didn’t allow a single touchdown.
The pick: Cowboys -10
Projected score: Cowboys 31-17