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Commanders vs. Falcons odds, line, spread: 2022 NFL picks, Week 12 predictions from proven computer model

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The Atlanta Falcons will try to get back to the .500 mark this season when they face the Washington Commanders on Sunday afternoon. Atlanta snapped a two-game losing streak with a 27-24 win against Chicago last week. Washington has won five of its last six games, beating Philadelphia and Houston in its past two contests.

Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET. Washington is favored by 4 points in the latest Commanders vs. Falcons odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is set at 40.5. Before entering any Falcons vs. Commanders picks, you’ll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 12 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 155-109 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Commanders vs. Falcons. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for Commanders vs. Falcons:

  • Commanders vs. Falcons spread: Commanders -4
  • Commanders vs. Falcons over/under: 40.5 points
  • Commanders vs. Falcons money line: Washington -205, Atlanta +170
  • Commanders vs. Falcons picks: See picks here

Featured Game | Washington Commanders vs. Atlanta Falcons

Why the Falcons can cover

Atlanta snapped a two-game losing streak with a 27-24 win over Chicago last week, using a late field goal to pick up the win. The Falcons used 149 rushing yards to notch the win, averaging 4.5 yards per carry. Washington has not played a home game since Week 9, which resulted in a 20-17 loss to Minnesota. 

The Falcons are only a half-game back of Tampa Bay in the NFC South standings, so they have plenty of motivation entering this week. Quarterback Marcus Mariota has been solid away from home this season, throwing seven touchdown passes in five outings. He has also thrown just one interception in…

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