We have an AFC East duel on deck as the NFL opens up Week 13 with the Buffalo Bills visiting the New England Patriots on Thursday night. Both of these division rivals are entering this matchup above .500 on the season, but find themselves in different spots in the standings. At 8-3, Buffalo is duking it out with Miami for first place, while the Patriots try to claw back into the playoff picture at 6-5.
This is the first time that these clubs have faced one another this season with the second coming in the regular-season finale in Week 18. In 2021, they split the season series, but it was the Bills who got the last laugh in the playoffs, trouncing the Patriots and sending them home for the year with a 47-17 victory.
Here, we’ll specifically be looking at the different betting angles that this game has to offer. Along with the spread and total, we’ll also take a look at several player props and hand in our picks for how we see this showdown unfolding.
All NFL odds via Caesars Sportsbook.
How to watch
Date: Thursday, Dec. 1 | Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
Location: Gillette Stadium (Foxborough, Massachusetts)
Stream: Amazon Prime Video
Follow: CBS Sports App
Odds: Bills -3.5, O/U 43.5
Line movement
Featured Game | New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills
There has been some momentum moving in the Patriots favor. After opening up at Bills -5.5, this line has bumped down by two full points, sitting at Bills -3.5 on the eve of this head-to-head. Both of these teams played on Thanksgiving and it was after Thursday’s action that we saw all of this movement, with the initial slip-down happening on Monday.
The pick: Bills -3.5. The movement in this line suggests that this is an unpopular pick as money has started to come in on New England. On its face, that makes sense. The Patriots are playing for their playoff lives and the Bills have stumbled a bit over the last few weeks, going 1-4 ATS over their last five games. Home underdogs are also covering at a historic rate this season as their 59% cover rate is the highest in any…
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