Two top 10 defenses face off in Arlington this weekend, as the Dallas Cowboys host the Indianapolis Colts. The Cowboys had plenty of time to prepare for this matchup, as they last played on Thanksgiving, registering a 28-20 win over the New York Giants. As for the Colts, they fell to the Pittsburgh Steelers at home on “Monday Night Football,” 24-17.
Jeff Saturday is 1-2 straight up and 2-1 against the spread as the Colts interim head coach, but he faces arguably his toughest test yet this week against an elite offense that has home-field advantage in primetime. The Cowboys are a league-best 20-8 ATS since the start of last season, and have recorded 400-plus yards of total offense in four straight games. Dallas has won five straight games at home, so Indianapolis better be prepared for a fight.
Below, we will break down this Sunday night matchup from a gambling perspective, and examine the line movement, Over/Under and player props to consider. First, here’s how you can watch the game.
All NFL odds are via Caesars Sportsbook.
How to watch
Date: Sunday, Dec. 4 | Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
Location: AT&T Stadium (Arlington, TX)
TV: NBC | Stream: fuboTV (try for free)
Follow: CBS Sports App
Odds: Cowboys -10.5, O/U 44.5
Featured Game | Dallas Cowboys vs. Indianapolis Colts
Line movement
This line reopened at DAL -9.5 on Tuesday, Nov. 22. It rose to DAL -11 this Tuesday, but dropped to DAL -10.5 on Thursday.
The pick: Cowboys -10.5. The Cowboys are 7-4 ATS while the Colts are 5-7 ATS. Dallas is 4-2 ATS both at home, and as a favorite. “America’s Team” let bettors down on Thanksgiving, as a fourth-quarter Graham Gano field goal covered the spread for the Giants. Still, I’m going to back the Cowboys despite the large number.
The Colts simply can’t keep up on offense, as they average just 15.8 points per game — which ranks third-worst in the league. The Cowboys on the other hand average 25.4 points per game, which ranks seventh in the NFL. Matt Ryan is the best quarterback the Colts have on roster, but a…
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