Through the first 12 weeks of the 2022 NFL schedule, home underdogs of at least four points are 21-7 against the spread (75%). That’s on pace to be the highest percentage since the 1970 merger, and three teams on Sunday have a chance to continue the trend. The latest Week 13 NFL odds from Caesars Sportsbook have the Bears as 4.5-point home dogs to the Packers, while seven-point underdogs include the Texans hosting the Browns and the Rams hosting the Packers. Backing home underdogs in general has been a profitable NFL betting strategy this year since they are 41-29-2 ATS (59%). Which NFL bets, NFL office pool picks, and NFL survivor picks should you make? All of the Week 13 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine’s advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 13 NFL picks now.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 13 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 155-110 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 13 NFL odds and locked in NFL picks for every NFL matchup. Head here to see every pick.
Top Week 13 NFL predictions
One of the model’s strongest Week 13 NFL picks is that the Giants (+2.5) cover the spread against the Commanders. These are the third and fourth-place teams in the NFC East standings, but both teams would be in the playoffs if they started today and Sunday’s matchup is a critical one for both sides. Even with the Commanders coming in off wins in six of their last seven games and the Giants losing three of four, the game sets up well for New York.
Washington still hasn’t had a bye week and the Giants have an extended break after playing on Thanksgiving against the Cowboys. Expect Brian Daboll’s team to be well-prepared and play with a chip on their shoulders as home underdogs against a team they’re ahead of in the standings. That’s why the model predicts that the Giants cover in well over 60% of simulations and win outright nearly 60% of the time as well.Ā See which other teams to…
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