We had our first losing week in quite some time, but are still No. 1 among CBS Sports experts. First one to 100 ATS wins on the season! As far as last week goes, I’m shocked Tua Tagovailoa lost to Brock Purdy, I’m surprised the Seattle Seahawks couldn’t cover vs. the Los Angeles Rams and then I’m just unlucky that Lamar Jackson was injured vs. the Denver Broncos.
Week 14 provides us with even more entertaining matchups. The Dallas Cowboys are favored over the Houston Texans by 17(!) points, Deshaun Watson takes the Cleveland Browns to visit the Cincinnati Bengals and the New York Giants host the red-hot Philadelphia Eagles. Also, this year’s Mr. Irrelevant is favored by 3.5 points over Tom Brady in his first career start. Amazing.
Here’s a look at what I’m thinking this week. As always, credit to the CBS Sports research team for making me sound smart.
All odds come courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook.
Top five picks ATS record: 34-30-1
Overall ATS record: 104-85-6
Straight up record: 128-65-2
Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET (Amazon Prime Video)
Featured Game | Los Angeles Rams vs. Las Vegas Raiders
Here, we have one team that has newfound momentum thanks to a three-game win streak, and another team that is likely a loss away from being eliminated from postseason contention, and is already looking forward to 2023. The number is under a touchdown? I’ll take it.
CBS Sports research guru Doug Clawson wrote a great piece this week breaking down five reasons why the Raiders can make a playoff run. Their schedule down the stretch isn’t too bad, Josh Jacobs and Davante Adams are absolutely rolling, Darren Waller and Hunter Renfrow are nearing returns plus Chandler Jones and Maxx Crosby rank 1-2 in the NFL in pressures over the last three weeks. Remember, the Raiders made a late-season run to make the playoffs last year. Maybe they can do it again.
I understand Jacobs is questionable to play with quad and calf injuries, but I’m still going to take the Raiders to win and cover.
The pick: Raiders -6.5
Projected score: Raiders 23-13
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
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