Entering his third appearance with Los Angeles, and if the Rams are to beat the Broncos, look for Mayfield to shorten up his time to throw and average depth of target, with the hope of taking fewer negative plays and keeping the offense ahead of the chains.
According to NFL Research, the Broncos offense has scored 24 in consecutive games against Kansas City and Arizona, after failing to score 24 in any of their prior 12 contests.
Meantime, the Rams have not scored 24 since Week 6 against Carolina, prior to their bye.
Sunday feels like a game where 24 points should be enough to carry either team to victory. Like Los Angeles, the Denver defense has been valiant despite seldom being in advantageous time and score situations.
It goes without writing the league and its television partners had higher hopes for this matchup when scheduling the Christmas kickoff.
Russell Wilson’s trade to Denver was a giant piece of the perception that the AFC West would be the best division in football.
As of this writing, only the Chiefs have scored more touchdowns than they’ve allowed. And the Broncos and Raiders are on the brink of playoff elimination. Suffice it to say, the AFC West didn’t live up to the hype.
As for the NFC West, which last year produced three postseason clubs and the Super Bowl winner? If the Playoffs started today, only San Francisco would advance.
Finally, as our focus shifts to 2023, three opponents are still to be determined on next year’s schedule.
The Rams will host the like-place finisher in the NFC South and travel to face the like-place finishers in the AFC South and NFC North.
As of this writing, that would mean a home game against the Falcons and road trips to Houston and Chicago. But that could still change entirely over the next three games. In terms of impact on 2023, I tend to think scheduling formula is more consequential than draft order with respect to how you finish in the standings.
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