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Who the experts think will win in Week 17

Who the experts think will win in Week 17


In the penultimate game of the season, the Broncos (4-11) will travel to Arrowhead to take on the Chiefs (12-3). The first matchup between these teams in Week 14 nearly saw Denver come back from a 27-point deficit due to clutch turnovers and wide receiver Jerry Jeudy’s three-touchdown performance.

In this rematch, Interim Head Coach Jerry Rosburg has a tough task ahead of him as he looks to right the ship. Kansas City has one of the most electric offenses in the league, and it is fighting for the top seed in the AFC.

To get you ready for the big game, we rounded up score and spread predictions from NFL analysts.

BetMGM’s model projects that the Chiefs will win, with 87.0 percent confidence. The model factors in offensive and defensive matchups, recent games, key player performances from the season and injuries. Here is BetMGM’s game overview with betting trends and more.

The spread for the Broncos-Chiefs game — currently 13.5 in BetMGM’s NFL odds — is the second biggest in the last 20 years for the first game of an interim coach’s tenure. Only the Rams in 2016 — +15 at the Seattle Seahawks — under interim coach John Fassel were a bigger underdog. Underdogs of at least 10 points are on an eight-game moneyline losing streak entering Week 17 after going 4-5 from Week 6 through Week 10. The Broncos won’t end that skid on Sunday and hand the Chiefs their first outright loss since 2020 when favored by at least 10 points. And I don’t think they’ll become the 19th team since 2003 to cover in the first game after the dismissal of a head coach. – Andrew Doughty

Projected score: Chiefs 31, Broncos 13

On Tuesday’s episode of the Around the NFL Podcast, my old friend Andrew Hawkins noted that you can tell a lot about how a team felt about its previous coach based on how the players perform the week after he’s been let go. … (Also, most interim head coaches don’t have to face Patrick Mahomes in their first…

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