Super Bowl 57 pick, odds: Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs upset Eagles in close matchup between NFL’s best teams

I’m glad it’s the Kansas City Chiefs facing off against the Philadelphia Eagles in Super Bowl LVII. These two truly appear to be the best teams in the NFL. 

The Chiefs have experience on this big stage, and almost appear to be rejuvenated following that win over the trash-talking Cincinnati Bengals. Patrick Mahomes and Co. reminded everyone why the Chiefs are perennial contenders. As for the Eagles, they have coasted in the postseason, winning both of their playoff matchups by at least 24 points. Is that a sign of things to come, or will that actually hurt Philly in the end? 

Last year in the Super Bowl, I predicted the Los Angeles Rams would defeat the Bengals by exactly three points. Let’s see if I can be that spot-on two years in a row. As always, credit to the CBS Sports research team for making me sound smart. 

All odds come courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook.

Playoff ATS record: 7-5
Playoff straight up record: 10-2

Top five picks ATS record: 43-45-1
Overall ATS record: 135-129-7
Straight up record: 177-92-2

Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles (-1.5)

Sunday, 6:30 p.m. ET (Fox, fuboTV)

No matter which facet of this matchup you want to look at, it’s fascinating all around. This is the youngest quarterback matchup in Super Bowl history, the Eagles and Chiefs ranked 1-2 in sacks during the regular season, both were the top scoring offenses from their respective conferences and then both scored exactly 546 points to this point. 

There are a few X-factors in this matchup we all should keep an eye on. For one, how does the Chiefs’ offensive line and Mahomes deal with the Eagles’ pass rush? Haason Reddick is playing like a man possessed. He has 3.5 sacks in two playoff games so far. That’s already the most postseason sacks for a player in Eagles franchise history. He has three straight seasons with 10-plus sacks, and all three came on different teams! He’s the first player to ever accomplish that….