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XFL odds, picks for Week 4: Battlehawks cover vs. Renegades, while Defenders remain perfect

XFL odds, picks for Week 4: Battlehawks cover vs. Renegades, while Defenders remain perfect


Week 3 of the XFL was pretty fun. We started off hot on Saturday night, as Josh Gordon caught a game-winning, 65-yard catch with under one minute remaining to get the Seattle Sea Dragons into the win column for the first time this year. The 30-26 win over the Vegas Vipers was the highest-scoring XFL game of the year — that is, until the St. Louis Battlehawks and D.C. Defenders took the field the very next day.

The Defenders remained undefeated with a 34-28 win over the Battlehawks, where things got testy late. After that matchup, the Arlington Renegades struggled with the Orlando Guardians before eventually pulling out a 10-9 win, and then the Houston Roughnecks built on their argument for best team in the league with a 22-13 win over the San Antonio Brahmas. It was a solid week.

As for our gambling picks, we went 3-1 ATS and 4-0 SU. Personally, I am of course playing spreads in the XFL, but moneyline parlays have worked out beautifully too. 

ATS record: 8-4
Straight up record: 9-3
XFL Favorites ATS: 7-5

All odds are via Caesars Sportsbook

Houston Roughnecks (-8.5) at Orlando Guardians

Saturday, 7 p.m. ET (FX) | Stream: fuboTV (try for free)

This is a rematch from Week 1, where the Roughnecks roughed up the Guardians, 33-12. What’s interesting is that Houston has won each of its first three games by at least nine points, so why should we expect things to be different in Week 4 — especially against a team like Orlando? The Guardians certainly showed some fight in the 10-9 loss to the Renegades, but I wonder if that game said more about Arlington compared to Orlando. Paxton Lynch threw for 219 yards, rushed for 43 yards and a touchdown last week. I think the Guardians are getting better, but so is everyone. I believe the Roughnecks are the best team in the league, even as a bandwagon D.C. “fan.” Brandon Silvers has been great. 

I’m going to lay the points with the favorites, but this is one of those moneylines you’re going to want to throw in a March Madness parlay. 

The pick: Roughnecks -8.5
Projected score: Roughnecks 27-17

San Antonio Brahmas at Seattle Sea Dragons (-4.5)

Saturday, 10 p.m. ET (FX) | Stream: fuboTV (try for free)

Some believe Seattle is about to take off, and sportsbooks apparently agree. The 4.5 points is a lot for two 1-2 teams, but Josh Gordon’s explosion last week is hard to ignore. He caught six passes for 118 yards and two touchdowns — including the…

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