After an incredibly promising season in 2022 with Dan Lanning at the helm for the first time, all arrows are pointing up for the Oregon Ducks as we head into the 2023 season.
With quarterback Bo Nix returning for another year, an incredibly talented group of skill position players, a retooled defense that should be able to fare well in the offense-heavy Pac-12, and a bolstered coaching staff that has seen some impressive hires over the past several months, there’s a reason for Oregon fans to feel confident at this point in the year.
We know the Ducks’ schedule, we know where the pivotal games will come, and we know what needs to improve in order for the team to make a run at the Pac-12 Championship, and potentially a spot in the College Football Playoff.
How likely is that to happen, though?
While we have our opinions, one of the best predictors of future success over the years has been ESPN and their Football Power Index. Released for the first time in the 2023 season this past week, the FPI breaks down the top teams in the nation looking at their roster, their schedule, their percent chance to win each game, and where that ultimately lands them after the season comes to an end. It gives each team a projected record and breaks down their chances to become bowl-eligible, win the conference, and make it to the CFP.
So how does it see things playing out for the Ducks? Take a look.
Preseason FPI Ranking
Preseason FPI Ranking: 13th
While Oregon is commonly ranked around No. 10 in most preseason polls, the Football Power Index sees them a little bit lower on the charts. The semblance of doubt is understandable; there are a lot of questions about this team going into the new season despite the numerous strengths that they boast. A remade offensive line needs to prove itself as good as the unit was last year, and the defense has a long way to go before it can be considered elite.
For reference, the only other Pac-12 team ahead of…
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