Patriots schedule 2023: Game-by-game predictions, win totals, toughest stretch, opponents, pivotal matchups

The New England Patriots are looking to get the train back on the tracks. After drafting Mac Jones in the first round of the 2021 NFL Draft and watching as the rookie quarterback helped lead the team back to the postseason, things went sideways in 2022. 

The unorthodox approach with the offensive coaching staff threw New England’s ascension under Jones off-kilter, but it does appear like Bill Belichick has righted the wrong of last season over the last few months. The team has hired Bill O’Brien as its offensive coordinator and added some high-upside pieces at the skill positions to add a different dynamic to the unit. 

Now, as the NFL has unveiled its full schedule for the 2023 regular season, it’s time to see if this reset will produce a team that can get above .500 and contend for the playoffs once more. The road won’t be easy, however, New England faces the third-toughest strength of schedule in the NFL this coming year with their opponents’ combined win percentage from last season sitting at .549. That reflects their current win total projection, as Caesars Sportsbook has them sitting at 7.5 wins for 2023. 

Below, we’ll comb through the entire 18-game slate for New England, highlight key games, the club’s toughest stretch, and finally go game-by-game to predict how this season will shake out. 

Key schedule observations

• The Patriots are looking at four prime-time games, including a three-week stretch in front of the country from Week 14-16. That also includes a Christmas Eve matchup with the Broncos that will air on NFL Network.
• In Week 1, the Patriots will hold a halftime ceremony to honor Tom Brady. 
• This is the first time that the Patriots have kicked off the season at home against an NFC opponent since 2000 (Buccaneers). The last time New England began the year against an…