The Miami Dolphins look to remain well ahead of the rest of the AFC East as they match up against the Washington Commanders on Sunday afternoon. The Dolphins (8-3) enter off a 34-13 victory last Friday against the Jets, while the Commanders (4-8) fell to the Cowboys on Thanksgiving day, 45-10. Washington won the last regular season meeting between these teams in 2019, 17-16. Miami is 7-4 against the spread, while Washington is 5-6-1 ATS in 2023.
Kickoff from FedEx Field in Landover, Md. is set for 1 p.m. ET. Miami is a 9.5-point road favorite in the latest Dolphins vs. Commanders odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under is 49.5. Before making any Commanders vs. Dolphins picks, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from the computer simulation model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 13 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 175-126 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 29-18 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season and is 22-8 straight-up the last two weeks.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has set its sights on Dolphins vs. Commanders and just locked in its picks and NFL Week 13 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Commanders vs. Dolphins:
- Commanders vs. Dolphins spread: Dolphins -9.5
- Commanders vs. Dolphins over/under: 49.5 points
- Commanders vs. Dolphins money line: Dolphins -452, Commanders +345
- Commanders vs. Dolphins picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Commanders vs. Dolphins live stream: fubo (try for free)
Why the Dolphins can cover
Very few teams have been able to slow down wide receiver Tyreek Hill, who leads the league in receiving with 1,324 yards on 88 receptions. Hill is among the favorites to win NFL Offensive Player of the Year, having also scored 10 touchdowns. In last week’s romp over the Jets, the speedster caught nine passes for 102 yards and a touchdown.
Throwing Hill those passes has been MVP candidate Tua Tagovailoa, whose 3,177 yards passing and 22 touchdown passes rank among…
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