Weather figures to play a large role when the third-seeded Kansas City Chiefs host the sixth-seeded Miami Dolphins on Saturday in an AFC matchup during Super Wild Card Weekend of the 2024 NFL playoffs. Temperatures at Arrowhead Stadium are expected to be in the single-digits and could dip below zero, which would give a distinct advantage to reigning Super Bowl champion Kansas City (11-6). The Dolphins (11-6) have dropped 10 consecutive games when it was below 40 degrees at kickoff and quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has lost the five coldest starts of his NFL career. The Chiefs posted a 21-14 victory over Miami in Germany in Week 9, extending their winning streak in the series to four games.
Kickoff is at 8 p.m. ET in Kansas City. Kansas City is a 4.5-point favorite, while the over/under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 43.5 in the latest Dolphins vs. Chiefs odds from the SportsLine consensus. Before making any Chiefs vs. Dolphins picks or NFL bets, you need to see what SportsLine expert Larry Hartstein has to say, considering his mastery of picks involving Miami.
A former lead writer for Covers and The Linemakers, Hartstein combines a vast network of Vegas sources with an analytical approach he honed working for Pro Football Focus. He tied for 52nd place (out of 1,598 entries) in the 2022 Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest, going 53-34-3 ATS. Those selections form the basis of his weekly SportsLine NFL best bets, which are 69-43-2 since the start of last season, including a 14-4 record the last six weeks.
Most importantly, Hartstein has a read on the pulse of the Dolphins. He is 28-17-1 (+904) on his last 46 NFL picks in games involving Miami. Anyone who has consistently followed him is way up.
Now, Hartstein has set his sights on Dolphins vs. Chiefs and just locked in his picks and NFL predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Chiefs vs. Dolphins:
- Dolphins vs. Chiefs spread: Kansas City -4.5
- Dolphins vs. Chiefs over/under: 43.5 points
- Dolphins vs. Chiefs money line: Kansas City -226, Miami +184
- MIA: Dolphins have hit the 1H Over in 15 of their last 21 games
- KC: Chiefs have hit the 4Q Under in 17 of their last 20 games
- Dolphins vs. Chiefs picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Chiefs can cover
Kansas City was sixth in passing (246.4 yards) and ninth in total offense (351.3) during the regular…
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