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NFL Draft 2024: What past decade says about moving up in first round for a QB, plus some trade hypotheticals

NFL Draft 2024: What past decade says about moving up in first round for a QB, plus some trade hypotheticals


The 2024 NFL Draft boasts potentially great quarterback options. Fans have already seen how the presence of those caliber players impact the draft with Minnesota acquiring a second pick in the first round, presumably to trade up for a quarterback.

In the event that the Cardinals or Chargers, who hold selections No. 4 and 5 overall respectively, trade out, CBS Sports looks back at previous deals to hypothesize what it might take to facilitate a move up to land a quarterback. The point differentials were determined by the trade value chart arranged by SportsLine’s R.J. White. 

Over the past 13 drafts, 35 quarterbacks have been taken in the first round, and there has been an average of one trade up each year to take a quarterback in the top half of the round. 

*Note: This is a revisionist view of each trade as it takes into account where future picks actually ended up being rather than the terms at the time of the trade. For example, a team may trade a future first-round pick and it ends up being the No. 15 overall selection. I am taking the figure for No. 15 overall and not the hypothetical value of a future first-round pick at the time of the trade.

2023

Carolina trades up with Chicago at No. 1 overall

Bears receive: No. 9 overall in 2023 (Traded), No. 61 overall in 2023 (Traded), No. 1 overall in 2024, 2025 second-round pick
Panthers receive: No. 1 overall in 2023 (QB Bryce Young)
Points differential: Bears +579.96 (Rough equivalent of No. 4 overall)
No. 48 overall was used in projecting the future second-round pick because it falls in the middle of the draft order.

2021 

San Francisco leaps up for third QB off the board

49ers receive: No. 3 overall in 2021 (QB Trey…

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