The 2024 college football season is rapidly approaching and fans of all teams are eager to see how the numerous changes that are taking effect will impact the landscape of the game they love. Conference realignment renders the PAC-12 a thing of the past, the SEC, Big Ten and Big 12 all grow with the addition of numerous programs and the College Football Playoff expands to a 12-team format.
Recently, ESPN revealed its Football Power Index (FPI) rankings, and the usual elite teams appear near the top. However, ESPN also shared the percentage chance each top team has to win the College Football Playoff national championship, according to its advanced analytics.
Here are the 10 teams with the best statistical chances to win it all in the 2024 college football season.
10
Florida State Seminoles
Melina Vastola-USA TODAY Sports
Breaking down the Florida State Seminoles:
FPI Rating: 15.1
Projected wins: 8.8
Chance to win a national championship: 2.5%
9
Tennessee Volunteers
Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports
Breaking down the Tennessee Volunteers:
FPI Rating: 16.6
Projected wins: 8.6
Chance to win a national championship: 2.6%
8
Oklahoma Sooners
Michael C. Johnson-USA TODAY Sports
Breaking down the Oklahoma Sooners:
FPI Rating: 17.2
Projected wins: 8.3
Chance to win a national championship: 3.0%
7
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
Breaking down the Notre Dame Fighting Irish:
FPI Rating: 19.0
Projected wins: 10.1
Chance to win a national championship: 5.1%
6
Penn State Nittany Lions
Matthew O’Haren-USA TODAY Sports
Breaking down the Penn State Nittany Lions:
FPI Rating: 19.8
Projected wins: 10.2
Chance to win a national championship:…
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