Throughout the course of the Ohio State football season, we like to keep an eye on what the ESPN computers say about the Buckeyes’ chances of winning each of its games. It’s one thing to get a look at what the bleeps and bloops of the computer say before the season begins, and now that we have some game film to look at for all of the opponents, there’s some actual concrete data to go by.
Ohio State started slow, but did what it needed in the second half against Akron to impress onlookers and the national media members, but how did it move the needle and the chance of winning each game on the remainder of its schedule after Week 1? Do the computers believe the Buckeyes can win at Oregon? What about the trip to Penn State? And, of course, what about the game at the end of November against Michigan?
Here’s a look at the updated percentage chances of OSU winning each of its remaining games according to the ESPN ‘matchup predictor‘.
Saturday, Sept. 7 vs. Western Michigan
Aug 30, 2024; Madison, Wisconsin, USA; Western Michigan Broncos quarterback Hayden Wolff (11) during the game against the Wisconsin Badgers at Camp Randall Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports
Ohio Stadium (Columbus, Ohio)
Predicted Winner | Ohio State
Buckeyes Win Probability | 98.1% (down from 98.2%)
All-Time Series | OSU leads 1-0
Projected Running Record | 2-0
Saturday, Sept. 21 vs. Marshall
Andrew Dieb-USA TODAY Sports
Ohio Stadium (Columbus, Ohio)
Predicted Winner | Ohio State
Buckeyes Win Probability | 94.5% (down from 96.4%)
All-Time Series | OSU leads 1-0
Projected Running Record | 3-0
Saturday, Sept. 28 vs. Michigan State
USA TODAY SMG
Ohio Stadium (Columbus, Ohio)
Predicted Winner | Ohio State
Buckeyes Win Probability | 93.7% (up from 91.5%)
All-Time Series | OSU leads 37-15
Projected Running Record | 4-0
Saturday, Oct. 5…
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