Wisconsin dropped to 5-4 on the 2024 season and 3-3 in Big Ten play with a historic 42-10 loss to Iowa on Saturday.
The loss raised many big-picture questions about the Badgers program under Luke Fickell, especially when compared to Iowa’s continued success with its old-school model. More importantly, the result distanced the team from its recent three-game win streak, making that run look more and more like an anomaly.
Related: Big Ten Power Rankings after Week 10: Ohio State returns to prominence
The Badgers’ rest-of-season outlook continues to dim with the team’s recent form. It has three games remaining: vs. No. 1 Oregon, at Nebraska and vs. Minnesota. Both Oregon and Minnesota are playing their best football entering November — the same can’t be said for the Cornhuskers. But none of the matchups are guaranteed wins with Wisconsin needing just one move victory to reach bowl eligibility.
Wisconsin enters a much-needed bye in Week 11 before hosting top-ranked Oregon. There’s a likely chance that Wisconsin’s record sits at 5-5 two weeks from today with two toss-up games standing between the team and a postseason birth.
For more on that exact outlook, here are ESPN FPI’s updated game-by-game win percentage chances for Wisconsin after its blowout loss to Iowa:
Week 11 (BYE)
Dec. 30, 2011; Los Angeles, California; General view of the Wisconsin Badgers helmet for the 2012 Rose Bowl at media day at the Marriott Los Angeles Downtown. Kirby Lee/Image of Sport-USA TODAY Sports
Wisconsin will need to exit its second bye week with strong form. Another win to reach bowl eligibility is no longer a given after the team’s last two losses.
Week 12 vs. Oregon
Oregon head coach Dan Lanning looks on as the No. 3 Oregon Ducks host the No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes Saturday, Oct. 12, 2024 at Autzen Stadium in Eugene, Ore. Ben Lonergan/The Register-Guard-USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images
Date: Nov….
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