The Miami Dolphins will go to battle without starting quarterback Tua Tagovailoa when they take on the New England Patriots on Sunday. Tagovailoa is once again in concussion protocol, meaning it’ll be Teddy Bridgewater under center for Miami. The Dolphins have lost four straight, most recently a 26-20 defeat at the hands of the Green Bay Packers, and badly need a win. New England is 0-5 against teams currently above .500, a description that still matches backsliding Miami. Bridgewater is arguably one of the best backups in the league and should be able to make the most of the Dolphins’ weapons like Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. The Patriots are 3-point favorites in the latest Week 17 NFL odds at Caesars Sportsbook. Which Week 17 NFL lines should you target with your Week 17 NFL bets? Before you make any Week 17 NFL picks or NFL parlays, be sure to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 17 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 158-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP.
Now, the model has locked in five confident NFL best bets for Week 17. If you successfully parlay its picks, you’d be looking at a massive payout of around 25-1. You can only see the model’s Week 17 NFL picks at SportsLine.
Top Week 17 NFL picks
After simulating every game 10,000 times, the model is high on the San Francisco 49ers (-10) to cover against the Las Vegas Raiders. The Raiders will be vulnerable to the 49ers’ newfound passing attack.
Las Vegas allows an average of 244.3 yards of offense through the air per game, the sixth-worst average in the NFL. 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy hasn’t been shy about attacking downfield, throwing for more than 200 yards in three of his four appearances since Jimmy Garoppolo’s injury. Brandon Aiyuk should get fed early and often in this game, while George Kittle has four touchdowns in his last two games. That is one reason the 49ers are covering the spread in more than 50% of simulations. See which other…
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