Welcome to the final week of the regular season. First of all, thanks for following along this year. Hopefully we won you some money, or at the very least gave you some food for thought on your picks. Gambling pays my internet bill, but not my mortgage. It’s more for fun than anything. With that being said, this is the WORST week to throw money on the NFL.
It’s difficult to guess which teams with nothing to gain or lose will show up, and which one’s won’t. Plus, for the teams that are starting their starters when they don’t need to start their starters, will those starters play the whole game, or just the first half?
Here’s a look at what I’m thinking this week. As always, credit to the CBS Sports research team for making me sound smart.
All odds come courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook.
Top five picks ATS record: 39-44-1
Overall ATS record: 125-123-7
Straight up record: 166-87-2
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
Featured Game | Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns
This is a must-win game for the Steelers. With a win and losses from the Miami Dolphins and New England Patriots, the Steelers would be in the playoffs. The key stats here are that the Steelers have won 18 straight regular-season home games vs. the Browns, and that Mike Tomlin has never had a losing season. At 8-8, the Steelers need a win to keep that streak alive.
I think it’s pretty impressive that the Steelers have overcome seven-point deficits in the fourth quarter in each of their past two games. Kenny Pickett has some more steps he needs to take in his development, but he’s been clutch late in games. With the number being this low, I’m just going to lay it.
The pick: Steelers -2.5
Projected score: Steelers 23-17
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, FuboTV)
Featured Game | Chicago Bears vs. Minnesota Vikings
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