Final analysis: The experts on Jaguars-Chiefs

JACKSONVILLE – Each week during the 2022 season, Jaguars “experts” – Tony Boselli, Frank Frangie, Jeff Lageman, Brent Martineau, John Oehser, Brian Sexton and J.P. Shadrick – will analyze the following day’s Jaguars matchup.

The Kansas City Chiefs in a 2022 AFC Divisional Playoff game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Mo., Saturday at 4:30 p.m.

• The Jaguars will win if:They start fast offensively and win the turnover battle. The Jags cannot afford to fall behind early like they did against the Chargers. One of the big keys offensively is to have a plan for Jones, one the best defensive tackles in the NFL. Getting the run game going early will be critical.
• The Chiefs will win if:They jump on the Jaguars early, and force them to play catchup the entire game. A major factor will be protecting Mahomes against a Jaguars pass rush that has been effective the last quarter of the season. The Jaguars’ defense has been opportunistic getting turnovers in critical moments, and it will be important for the Chiefs to protect the ball.
• As Boselli sees it:This is all gravy for the Jaguars at this point. I think they come out loose, and get off to good start on both sides of the ball. The goal should be making it a one-possession game going into the fourth quarter, putting all the pressure on the Chiefs. The Jaguars will shock the world, 30-27.

• The Jaguars will win: They start faster than they have been starting and get the offense going early. The Chiefs can score in bunches, so the Jags must keep up. They also must take care of the ball. Unlike last week, it will be hard to overcome a negative turnover margin. They have to avoid big plays from the Chiefs; make Kansas City go the length of the field in small plays, not chunks.
• The Chiefs will win if: They can jump out fast on a Jaguars team that has tended to struggle early in games of late. They will try to…