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NFL Week 16 odds, picks: Steelers take down surging Bengals, 49ers edge Ravens at home in battle of top seeds

NFL Week 16 odds, picks: Steelers take down surging Bengals, 49ers edge Ravens at home in battle of top seeds


It’s pretty remarkable that we’re already in the final month of the 2023 NFL regular season. One minute you’re in the summer months gearing up for the season ahead, and BAM it’s Christmas. And what do we want in our stockings this year? Winners. We rebounded slightly after a dull Week 14, but the 6-8-2 ATS record last week is hardly something to hang our hat on. I’ll look to get us back on a positive track throughout the holiday weekend as I’ve zeroed in on a number of vulnerable teams on this slate and have us backing three road teams inside my five locks of the week. 

Happy Holidays to you and your family! Now, let’s get some last-minute shopping money. 

2023 record

Regular season
Locks of the Week ATS
: 37-38-1
ATS: 113-100-11
ML: 139-85

All NFL odds via SportsLine consensus odds.

Featured Game | Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals

  • Saturday, 4:30 p.m. ET (NBC, fubo)  

Pittsburgh is turning the keys to the offense to Mason Rudolph after the Mitch Trubisky experience found Mike Tomlin’s team 0-2 in his starts and falling out of the playoff picture. I can see Rudolph (7-3 ATS in his career as a starter) giving this Steelers offense a bit of a boost, especially against a Bengals secondary that is giving up 7.5 yards per pass attempt (31st in the NFL). Meanwhile, Cincinnati got banged up in their come-from-behind victory against the Vikings last week with star defensive tackle D.J. Reader going down for the year, and wideout Ja’Marr Chase expected to miss time due to a shoulder injury. The Bengals have also struggled mightily in divisional games this year as they are 0-4 SU and ATS against the AFC North. On the other hand, Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU and ATS against the division in its last six meetings, which includes a 3-0 SU and ATS record at home. 

Projected score: Steelers 21, Bengals 17
The pick: Steelers +2

Featured Game | New York Jets vs. Washington Commanders

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