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Forecasting QB competitions after 2024 NFL Draft: Broncos, Patriots poised to open with rookie signal-callers

Forecasting QB competitions after 2024 NFL Draft: Broncos, Patriots poised to open with rookie signal-callers


With the 2024 NFL Draft in the rear view, pretty much every quarterback situation is set. At least until summer. More than a half-dozen NFL teams are poised to hold open competitions at the position in the coming months, and all but a few of them register as legitimate battles. That means close to 20% of this year’s Week 1 starters could be up for grabs, raising the stakes of training camps around the league.

Here’s an early overview of all the competitions, plus our early forecast of eventual starters:

Bo Nix vs. Jarrett Stidham vs. Zach Wilson


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The Broncos have done nothing but tout Nix’s experience since spending the No. 12 overall pick on the Oregon product; if you listen to coach Sean Payton and general manager George Paton, you’d believe the 21-year-old rookie is, in fact, the most NFL-ready signal-caller of his class. Which is to say, this feels like Nix’s job to lose. Wilson also has the first-round pedigree with zippy athleticism, but he registers as more of a boom-or-bust Plan B project. Payton surely wants control and consistency within the system, and that’s what Nix is built to offer.

Projected Week 1 starter: Bo Nix

Aidan O’Connell vs. Gardner Minshew


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The one quarterback-needy team that didn’t address the position in the draft, the Raiders have vowed to give O’Connell a chance to hold the job after the 2023 fourth-rounder fared reasonably well amid in-season regime change as a rookie. But other factors point to Minshew eventually securing an edge: He’s got more experience and mobility, noted journeyman moxie and he secured spot-starter money to leave the Indianapolis Colts in free agency. With veterans like Davante Adams in tow, winning sooner rather than later may be the priority.

Projected Week 1 starter: Gardner Minshew

J.J. McCarthy vs. Sam Darnold


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The Vikings moved quickly to sign Darnold, the former New York Jets prospect, after seven-year starter Kirk Cousins left in free agency. But McCarthy is the future, bringing heralded poise and play-action prowess as…

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