Boise State vs. San Diego State prediction, odds, line: Week 5 college football picks, best bets by top model

Two of the preseason favorites in the Mountain West Conference collide when the Boise State Broncos host the San Diego State Aztecs on Friday at Albertsons Stadium in Boise, Idaho. The Broncos (2-2, 1-0 in MWC) suffered a shocking, 27-10 loss last week at UTEP, which had not beaten Boise State in six previous meetings. In the preseason the Broncos were picked to win the Mountain Division of the MWC. Meanwhile the Aztecs (2-2) are coming off a 17-14 victory over Toledo. They were predicted to finish second in the West Division behind only Fresno State. Boise State will be without four-year starting quarterback Hank Bachmeier, who announced he will be entering the transfer portal after the team’s decision to fire offensive coordinator Tim Plough following a 27-10 loss to UTEP in Week 4. Taylen Green is Boise State’s new starter at QB.

Kickoff is 8 p.m. ET. The Broncos are 6.5-point favorites in the latest Boise State vs. San Diego State odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 39. Before you make any San Diego State vs. Boise State picks, you need to see the college football prediction and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of more than $3,100 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed the model has seen huge returns.

Now the model has dialed in on Boise State vs. San Diego State and just revealed its coveted picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of the model’s college football picks. Now, here are the college football odds and trends for San Diego State vs. Boise State:  

• Boise State vs. San Diego State spread: Broncos -6.5
• Boise State vs. San Diego State over/under: 39 points 
• Boise State vs. San Diego State money line: Broncos -250, Aztecs +205
• BSU: JL Skinner ranks second in the conference in tackles per game (9.0) 
• SDSU: Jordan Byrd ranks seventh in the country in punt returns (17.8 yards per return) 
• Boise State vs. San Diego State picks: See picks here