We did not have a very Merry Christmas, hitting just one of our top five bets. The Detroit Lions aren’t who we thought they were, the Cleveland Browns lost at home in the coldest game of the season, Tua Tagovailoa’s poor second half gave the game to the Green Bay Packers and Tom Brady needed overtime to beat Trace McSorley. Shoutout to the Cincinnati Bengals for actually taking care of business in Week 16.
This week, the Packers look to keep things rolling against the Minnesota Vikings, the New England Patriots attempt to get back on track against the Miami Dolphins and then Joe Burrow and the Bengals host Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills. Here’s a look at what I’m thinking this week. As always, credit to the CBS Sports research team for making me sound smart.
All odds come courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook.
Top five picks ATS record: 37-42-1
Overall ATS record: 118-115-7
Straight up record: 155-83-2
2022 Gambling trends
Home teams: 120-115-5 (51%)
Underdogs: 126-108-5 (54%)
Unders: 131-107-2 (55%)
Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET (Amazon Prime Video)
I’m not sure how much detail I have to go into here. The Titans are a gritty team, and that grittiness earned them the No. 1 seed in the AFC last season despite Tennessee playing with an NFL-record different amount of players due to injury. This season, the Titans just couldn’t overcome that adversity. Malik Willis is a very raw rookie quarterback operating behind a terrible offensive line, and he has a subpar wide receiving corps and offensive coordinator to work with. The defense plays tough, but they are injured just about everywhere. Throw in the fact that this game virtually doesn’t matter at all for Tennessee, and we are looking at a blowout.
The pick: Cowboys -12.5
Projected score: Cowboys 30-14
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
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