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2025 Super Bowl odds: Value picks to consider, including C.J. Stroud and the Texans

Texans vs. Ravens odds, line, spread, time: 2024 NFL divisional round picks, predictions by proven model


The 2023 NFL season is in the books, as the Kansas City Chiefs defeated the San Francisco 49ers in overtime of Super Bowl LVIII, 25-22. Picking Super Bowl sleepers last year was a fool’s errand, as Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce once again fought for their place on the big stage, and came out on top. Still, the NFL is full of surprises. Anything can happen next year.

Let’s take a look at the odds for Super Bowl LIX, and then break down five value picks that could be worth putting some money on right now.

Super Bowl odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

Houston Texans (+2200) 

When it comes to Super Bowl sleepers, financially attaching yourself to a young star quarterback is a good idea. I’m not saying C.J. Stroud is Mahomes, but he had a historic rookie season while Houston won the division, made the playoffs and won a playoff game despite being expected to be one of the worst teams in the league. First-year head coach DeMeco Ryans deserves respect too, as he turned the defense around immediately. Houston allowed the sixth-fewest rushing yards per game in 2023 after the Texans ranked dead last in that category in 2022. 

Not long ago, the AFC South was viewed as one of the worst divisions in the NFL. Now, it’s one of the most intriguing.

New York Jets (+2500)

Probably a polarizing pick here. The Jets almost appear cursed after Aaron Rodgers was injured just a few plays into Week 1, and I don’t know how much confidence I have in Robert Saleh, but it’s absolutely incredible that this Jets defense finished top three despite having zero offense. Imagine if they had an average offense to help out. I love this Jets defense and they are absolutely ready to contend. 

As for the offense, maybe Nathaniel Hackett’s system doesn’t inspire optimism, but this offense is built for Rodgers. Whatever you think about Rodgers, the bottom line is that he thrives off doubt. When Jordan Love was drafted by the Packers in the first round, Rodgers responded by winning two straight MVPs! Now, he’s switched teams and is coming off of a torn Achilles at 40 years old. Plenty of people will be ready to count him out, which is why it’s a solid idea to back him. The offensive line needs to be revamped, but Breece Hall and Garrett Wilson are studs. The Jets will again be a major headline — for better or for worse — in 2024.

Atlanta Falcons (+3000)

Let’s get a little wild. I thought Atlanta should have targeted…

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